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[分享] BWF球評Steen對東奧延期看法

看板Badminton標題[分享] BWF球評Steen對東奧延期看法作者
kelly51633
(自由幻夢)
時間推噓29 推:29 噓:0 →:50

在IOC正式宣布2020東京奧運延期後,BWF 球評 Steen Schleicher撰寫了一篇文章,關於這個消息對羽球五個項目的相對有利或不利的選手,文中是以Winner (贏家)和 Loser (輸家)來作為代表文字。


原文連結 : https://bit.ly/2xqOaJu

https://i.imgur.com/7ysBWo4.jpg


總結Steen的觀點:

女單Winner:馬琳、安洗瑩、辛度
女單 Loser :小戴、陳雨菲、何冰嬌

男單Winner:桃田、安東森、石宇奇
男單Loser:諶龍

男雙Winner:小黃人、Kim /Anders、李俊慧/劉雨辰
男雙Loser:遠藤/渡邊

女雙Winner:SaraThygesen/ Maiken Fruergaard
女雙Loser:Polii/Rahayu

混雙Winner:喬丹/美拉蒂、Chris & Gabby Adcock
混雙Loser:無

———完整原文如下————

Olympic Games postponed

Who are the winners and who are the losers from a badminton perspective?

Today it was announced that the Olympic Games 2020 will be held in 2021 in Tokyo. More NOCs were calling for a postponement of the Games due to the currentCoronavirus situation, and eventually the International Olympic Committee andthe Japanese government came to the same conclusion.
The 2020 Olympic Games will now take place sometime before the end of summer 2021, though probably not between 11th June to 11th July 2021, since these arethe dates targeted by the Euro 2020 Football Championships.
There is no doubt several overall winners and losers from this decision. I’m
not going to try and predict who they are in general, but in the following I’m taking a closer look at which badmintonplayers that might have come out on top or bottom of this decision.

We still don’t know exactly how the BWF will treat the tournaments postponed, cancelled or suspended, that were scheduled to count towards qualification for Tokyo2020. If some of the tournaments is both rescheduled and included in the qualification rankings, then there might be some winners in terms of players that were, as of now, not qualified, but through good results in re-scheduled qualifying events will earn a spot in Tokyo. Of course, this will also produce some losers then. Namely the players that is going to lose the spot they would have had, had the qualifying come to a stop on 28th April. Which might still be the cut-off date.
There is a tough situation to deal with for BWF. Because what do you do in terms of access to the Main Draw and Qualifying Draw as well as seedings, if thetournaments are blend together in a new schedule, regular events and qualifying events all mixed up. And they (BWF) would probably have to take a decision based on less than 100% information, because who knows when the different nations and continents will be able to open up and focus on badminton. Based on that I could very well see BWF stick to 28th April as the Cut-off date.

Men’s single Winners:
Kento Momota
For the world number one it looked like a race against time to regain form after the car accident in Malaysia. He will now have extra time to get in good shape on for the tournament on home soil.

Anders Antonsen and Shi Yu Qi
Both suffered ankle injuries during the qualification period. Antonsen doesn’t have to rush his recovery now, whilst Shi YuQi whi has been racing against time, after having surgery on his ankle, now has more time to get in shape.

Men’s single Losers:
Chen Long
This could also work the other way around, that he is gaining from the postponement. He just became a father, and that often times takes a while to get used to. I still fear though that Father Time is catching up on the reigning Olympic Champion, who has won one tournament in the qualification period. It seemsthat he has trouble increasing the pace over a certain level, and even thoughI’d love to be wrong I don’t think it’s going to getter better as time goes
by.

Women’s single Winners:
Carolina Marin
She has had a fantastic comeback since tearing her ACL in January 2019. But she has also been going ever since, and that must have been stressful. Furthermore, her dad is hospitalized at the moment, and I don’t see how that could not affect her during the spring and summer. Now she gets a break from badminton, and we know that she and Fernando Rivas have the formula for winning big events.

An Se Young
She has slowed down a little bit after winning French750 and Korea300, and some of the other nations have gotten some video footage on her. Yet I have no doubt that she will benefit from having 6-12 month extra to develop and get used to being a top contender.

P.V. Sindhu
Hasn’t played well since she won the World Championships in August 2019. Now
she gets a chance to prepare better for Tokyo, but I think she has to developher game technically as well to be in contention.

Women’s single Losers:
Tai Tzu Ying & Chen Yu Fei
Not really losers, but they have clearly been the two best players since the World Championships in Basel. And when you’re in great shape you pretty much want to capitalize on it immediately. Tai is finally back after the stomach injury she suffered back in December 2018, and Chen seems to be really solid at the moment.

He Bing Jiao
Like Chen Long this could go both ways as well. The extra time at hands mightsee her get in fantastic shape and go for Gold. But it’s been a while now since I started saying that she was a “sleeper” waiting to emerge. As time goes
by, naturally you have to question whether it will ever happen. And from behind Wang Zhi Yi seems to just get better and better, and I think she might be able to overtake He Bingjiao’s spot in Tokyo, even though the new coaching team seems to a little less willing to make decisions like that compared to the days of Li Yongbo.

Men’s double Winners:
Kevin Sukamuljo/ Marcus Gideon
Kevin is getting stronger from the backcourt area, and I think it is working.The more time he gets to practice the worse for their opponents.

Kim Astrup/Anders Skaarup
The Danes have been in a tough fight with Mathias Boe/ Mads Conrad for the Danish spot in Tokyo. Boe has already announced that he’s retiring either after
Thomas Cup or after the Olympics. The postponement makes it hard to see him prolong his career with another year.

Li Jun Hui/ Liu Yu Chen
Except for Malaysia500 the Twin Towers hasn’t really played well for a while. This basically goes for all the Chinese men’s doubles, and the postponement
should give them a chance to regroup.

Men’s double Losers:
Hiroyuki Endo/Yuta Watanabe but this is a really thin call. I think though they would have liked to build on their All England victory, and their great H2Hagainst the minions.

Women’s double Winners:
SaraThygesen/ Maiken Fruergaard
Thygesen is injured again. Same injury that kept her out for five month in 2018-19. So for the Dane who did so well in Indonesia500 it is nice that she doesn’t have to stress rehabilitation.

Women’s double Losers:
Greysia Polii/ Apriyani Rahayu
They’ve won two tournaments in 2020 already, even though they crashed out in
first round in Birmingham. Add to that, that it also seems as Father Time is catching up on Greysia Polii in terms of mobility, then 6-12 months extra is along time. On the other hand she might be able to give her body a break and recover well, and then they would dangerous dark horses.

Mixed double Winners:
Praveen Jordan/ Melati Oktavianti
Even though they come from their biggest accomplishment so far, I still see them – especially Oktavianti – being able to benefit from the postponement. Ok
tavianti played a great All England, that Jordan can play we’ve always known, and I feel that she hasn’t reached her maximum potential yet. So getting extra time to develop should help them as a pair.

Chris & Gabby Adcock
They were (are) in a close race against Marcus Ellis/ Lauren Smith, and as I see it they were losing that race. Now they have a chance to bounce back and make a case for themselves.

Mixed double Losers:
None, perhaps Smith and Ellis due to the above competition with the Adcocks, on the other hand I think they’ve raised their level.


All this is of course my subjective thoughts and opinions, and I can’t wait for Badminton tournaments to back hopefully sooner than later.
—-—原文結束———

https://i.imgur.com/4oTN64Z.jpg


文中提及了這麼多選手, 但Steen 只配一張上面的截圖,即使不是什麼特別的畫面,但有小戴就是愉悅(腦粉)

https://i.imgur.com/R056PkN.gif


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iamshana 03/25 08:56不是很多人說對大帝有利嗎

akira666 03/25 09:16雨菲:???XD

suba1121 03/25 09:22可能覺得陳雨菲要再維持一年的高檔有難度吧?倒是安

suba1121 03/25 09:22多一年磨練的確利多 辛度是可以多一點時間準備大賽

iamshana 03/25 09:25不利的沒有老天跟山萬耶...

jago 03/25 09:25看看就好,至少女單的馬琳跟辛度我反而看衰。

jago 03/25 09:25至於陳雨菲也沒理由看衰,22-23歲的年紀,正值巔峰

ysh 03/25 09:26女單我覺得是對安世瑛最有利!!

ysh 03/25 09:27男雙的loser我覺得還有阿山阿萬!明年更老了!

DDJJ1069 03/25 09:30小戴當年的高檔2016中~2019上半年,也維持三年左右

DDJJ1069 03/25 09:31小戴當時的年紀(22~24)。

DDJJ1069 03/25 09:34完全不覺得大帝會因此不利。現階段幾個元祖天才少女

DDJJ1069 03/25 09:35們也只剩下小戴可以贏大帝了,到了明年大帝對戰小戴

kinght0250 03/25 09:35山萬拖到明年應該狀態也不會差太多,打養生了

DDJJ1069 03/25 09:36只有更多體能上的優勢。

kinght0250 03/25 09:37是說男雙沒有人期待蔚蔚了嗎QQ?

zaza302107 03/25 09:49陳雨菲根本大利多

andrewla 03/25 10:01這篇女單很棒呀 小戴是賭狗剋星(=預測剋星) 今年全

andrewla 03/25 10:01英不是打臉誰的預測了嗎 嘻嘻

suba1121 03/25 10:04也是 請小戴繼續打臉~~

edos 03/25 10:14沒有一定啦,小戴跟大帝的比賽,運彩一向開小戴低賠,

edos 03/25 10:15去年年終賽跟今年初的大馬站,買大帝的就賺到了

comesome 03/25 10:30陳何都是利多吧

leeyongdae 03/25 10:42那這樣2020跟2021會有世錦賽嗎?

adamsuit 03/25 11:08對於延期 我們體育署今天有開記者會 只說會配合IOC

adamsuit 03/25 11:09但目前對於已取得參賽資格的選手不會重來算

adamsuit 03/25 11:11但是沒有提到羽球 因為嚴格來說羽球尚未有"正式資格

adamsuit 03/25 11:11所以一切靜待BWF公告了

adamsuit 03/25 11:12體育署也開始加強心理諮商 因為有選手會覺得明明今

adamsuit 03/25 11:12年可以調整好狀態卻延期等種種不安定的狀況

adamsuit 03/25 11:13體育署也會配合指揮中心加強防疫讓選手放心訓練

Rx770 03/25 11:33我想到還有郭婞淳 她也是年紀較大了

Rx770 03/25 11:35Steen:沉睡的阿嬌

Rx770 03/25 11:35覺得這篇有上新聞的潛力XDD

vins 03/25 11:37我覺得他忽略了王祉怡,有可能取代何冰嬌去東奧

Alicealex 03/25 11:38Steen不是反指標嗎?

Rx770 03/25 11:40中國派出大小帝軍團

iamshana 03/25 11:47還有鄭怡靜 她1992的

iamshana 03/25 11:47R大有啊 自由有這篇

Rx770 03/25 11:55喔喔是喔!!

suba1121 03/25 13:00跟R大一樣想到舉重 其實我還有想到體操

akira666 03/25 13:29亞運那個四金照裡面也就李最年輕了 其他都1993 1994

akira666 03/25 13:29QQ

soria 03/25 13:43steen的邏輯是現在高峰期的明年就慘了

soria 03/25 13:44不過我看馬琳現在也算有調整到高峰期就是 畢竟她早

soria 03/25 13:44就預設今年會打奧運

soria 03/25 13:45但我覺得馬琳明顯無法高速三局了吧 全英就看得出來

tommy770726 03/25 14:15瑪琳速度大降 辛度網前又廢了 戴菲今年原本最有機會

Alicealex 03/25 14:42馬琳只要不是遇到小戴,應該也是高速三局,畢竟破壞

Alicealex 03/25 14:42節奏很傷體力

Rx770 03/25 15:51說到這個,她上次打李美妙決賽那場我好像還沒看,

Rx770 03/25 15:51請問那場馬琳狀況如何,有受到疫情影響什麼的嗎?

adamsuit 03/25 16:03一樣到第二三局就慢了失誤暴增 所以馬皇能高速贏茜

adamsuit 03/25 16:03真的很驚人 尤其那場真的直接開TURBO到小茜只能追球

Rx770 03/25 16:09那可能只能推斷說無法一週高速五場球,在八強四強前

Rx770 03/25 16:09斬殺對手應該還是ok的?

Rx770 03/25 16:10反正我是被全英八強馬茜戰那場的速度嚇到,四強打小

Rx770 03/25 16:10戴也還是可以?但戴馬戰來看,第一局後面小戴是追

Rx770 03/25 16:10分狀態

soria 03/25 16:11我覺得今年全英 馬琳無疑奧運狀態

iamshana 03/25 16:13如果八強是馬戴先遇上 結果應該還是一樣吧?

soul1 03/25 16:17馬皇還是有心態影響手感的情況啦,一旦有點不順

soul1 03/25 16:18她很容易會連著幾球都比較離譜的失誤,算是很

soul1 03/25 16:19需要教練幫忙拉出來的類型,當然打順了就砍瓜切菜

soul1 03/25 16:21所以破壞馬皇的連貫讓她打不順是對付她最好的辦法

a20713 03/25 16:57Steen全英不是預測大帝可以成功衛冕嗎XDDDD

BroSin 03/25 18:36Chris Gabby?認真?

lovingyou 03/25 21:13英國夫妻從來沒打出來過吧~丹麥女雙我也不看好啊@@

lovingyou 03/25 21:14難道他的意思是本來只有16強~進步到八強也算得利嗎?

iamshana 03/25 21:24丹麥女雙今年是不是贏過福廣松高?

dd 03/25 21:33也想到舉重和體操+1 >=<

seven711 03/25 23:10山萬阿北球,延到明年感覺也還好,對於養生組跟正在

seven711 03/25 23:10巔峰組影響不大

Rx770 03/25 23:12https://youtu.be/VeoOs1-Qi80 電訪李智凱和戴爸

dwyanelin 03/25 23:13請問這樣小戴的球后時間也是繼續往上加嗎

dwyanelin 03/25 23:13還是也會中斷

dd 03/25 23:22謝謝R大的新聞連結~~

ysh 03/26 12:06世界排名可能會凍結

ysh 03/26 12:06BWF還在研擬