Re: [爆卦] 克宮內部會議流出:普丁對1-4日內不能攻

Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals.
Oligar
chs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that
the w
hole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
烏克蘭官方情資顯示，俄國的權力核心們被叫到烏拉爾據點來保證沒人會逃跑；
在該據點的一場會議中普丁怒不可遏，因為依他原本的估計，這場戰爭可以輕取
烏克蘭且在一到四日內塵埃落定。

Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There
ar
e rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons,
the
Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons.
Rif
les and ammo are the most they can do.
俄軍並未制訂戰術計畫且所費不貲(每多一天就必須多花200億美元)，更糟的是，
依照目前使用速度，火箭存量即使節省著使用也只剩三到四日。三個兵工廠無法
生產足夠的武器，供給這二十萬軍隊步槍與步槍子彈是他們目前能力的極限。

The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They
hav
e no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia,
Finland a
nd Germany is now cut off.
即使現在下單，下一批武器(應該指火箭等重武器)也要三至四個月後才能交貨；
但現在面臨斯洛維尼亞、德國與芬蘭的原料禁運，也無法開工。

If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians
will
have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or
resources. N
evertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
如果烏克蘭可以遲滯俄軍達到十天，那俄羅斯將因為金錢、武器與資源的匱乏，
被迫走向談判桌。即便如此，俄國還是對於制裁面不改色。

Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to
take
Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against
innoce
nt civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.
俄軍的王牌-阿法小隊(類似美軍的海豹六隊，超一流精銳) 自二月十八日起已逼
近基輔周邊，準備對對婦女小孩恐怖襲擊來製造恐慌，以達成奪取首都並扶植魁
儡政府的目的。

Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces
surr
ender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the otherci
ties would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the
fier
ce resistance they have encountered.
俄軍打算一到四日內搞定烏克蘭的戰略主要倚賴於製造恐慌。只要恐慌的種子種
下就能使總統逃跑，軍隊人民投降。俄軍原本預期Kharkiv城會率先投降，並對其
他城市造成骨牌效應，但俄軍遭遇的勇猛反抗，讓他們驚詫不已。

The Ukrainians must avoid panic! The missile strikes are for intimidation,
the R
ussians fire them at random to “accidentally” hit residential buildings to
mak
e the attack look larger than it really is. Ukraine must stay strong and we
must
provide assistance!
烏克蘭人必須鎮定!基輔落下的飛彈是為了恐嚇人民，俄國故意胡亂發射並讓飛彈
「意外的」打中民宅來製造攻擊規模巨大的假象。烏克蘭請務必堅強而我們世界各
國也必須提供支援!
※ 引述《koko0123 (KoKo)》之銘言：
: https://bit.ly/3BUimtZ
: 克宮內部會議流出:普丁對1-4日內不能攻陷烏克蘭表示震怒！！
: 懂俄羅斯原文的可以在Twitter文件的消息來源對照看看~
: Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals. Oligar
: chs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that the w
: hole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
: Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There ar
: e rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons, the
: Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons. Rif
: les and ammo are the most they can do.
: The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They hav
: e no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia, Finland a
: nd Germany is now cut off.
: If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will
: have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or resources. N
: evertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
: Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take
: Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innoce
: nt civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.: Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces surr: ender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other ci
: ties would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the fier
: ce resistance they have encountered.
: The Ukrainians must avoid panic! The missile strikes are for intimidation, the R
: ussians fire them at random to “accidentally” hit residential buildings to mak: e the attack look larger than it really is. Ukraine must stay strong and we must
: provide assistance!
: 烏克蘭官員關於在烏拉爾的普京巢穴舉行會議的情報。寡頭們聚集在那裡，所以沒有人會逃
: 跑。普京怒不可遏，他認為整個戰爭會很容易，一切都會在1-4天內完成。
: 俄羅斯人沒有戰術計劃。戰爭耗資約 200 億美元/天。火箭最多3-4天，他們很少使用它們
: 。他們缺乏武器，Tula 和 2 Rotenberg 工廠無法實際履行武器訂單。步槍和彈藥是他們能
: 做的最多的。
: 下一個俄羅斯武器可以在 3-4 個月內生產——即使是這樣。他們沒有原材料。以前主要來: 自斯洛文尼亞、芬蘭和德國的供應現已被切斷。
: 如果烏克蘭設法阻止俄羅斯人 10 天，那麼俄羅斯人將不得不進入談判。因為他們沒有錢、
: 武器或資源。然而，他們對製裁無動於衷。
: 自 2 月 18 日以來，Alpha Spec Ops 一直在基輔附近。目標是佔領基輔並建立傀儡政權。
: 他們正準備對無辜平民——婦女和兒童——進行挑釁，以播下恐慌。這是他們的王牌。
: 俄羅斯的整個計劃依賴於恐慌——平民和武裝部隊投降，澤連斯基逃跑。他們希望哈爾科夫: 首先投降，以便其他城市效仿以避免流血事件。俄羅斯人對他們遇到的激烈抵抗感到震驚。
: 烏克蘭人必須避免恐慌！導彈襲擊是為了恐嚇，俄羅斯人隨意發射它們以“意外”擊中住宅: 樓，使攻擊看起來比實際更大。烏克蘭必須保持強大，我們必須提供幫助！
: 感覺這次勝負的關鍵在於,
: 俄羅斯當局完全錯判了形勢,
: 沒有意料到遇到如此強烈的反抗,
: 而且明顯可能太久沒有打大仗了,
: 缺乏系統化的戰略和後援供應,
: 完全沒有當年希特拉德軍那種殺人不眨眼的氣勢。
:
: ----
: Sent from BePTT on my Xiaomi Redmi Note 9 Pro

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感恩 已修正