[花邊] 球員表現與薪資的匹配度(溢價or超值)
https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777743208933384221
Latest update of EPM merged with player salaries
^ The more the player has outperformed their contract
v The more the player has underperformed their contract
> The higher the player’s actual contract is
Thoughts?
二月多的時後有發過一篇 #1bs26Wdz (NBA) 最近又更新了
橫軸是球員本季至今的薪資
縱軸是球員表現經EPM計算所應拿的薪資
藍色表示超值 紅色表示溢價
^ 球員的表現超出其合約的價值
v 球員的表現未達到其合約的價值
> 球員實際合約薪資越高
大家對此有什麼看法?
https://i.imgur.com/u1piQVE.jpg
二月的圖:
https://i.imgur.com/At0eVeH.jpg
Some notes on how this was done and how to interpret it:
一些關於如何完成此事以及如何解讀它的註解:
To create this I merged EPM data from @taylor_snarr’s excellent site (dunksandthrees) with salary data from @spotrac.
為了創見這個,我將來自@taylor_snarr的優秀網站dunksandthrees中的EPM數據,與來自@spotrac的新資數據合併。
Right off the bat…obviously a player’s value can never be accurately determined by one composite metric, otherwise building a team would be super simple. That being said, it still can provide some insight.
首先 很明顯,一個綜合指標永遠無法準確判斷一位球員的價值,否則建立一個隊伍將會變得非常簡單。儘管如此,它仍然可以提供一些觀察。
Players on rookie deals (most of the top left) have a greater chance outperforming their contracts be default.
對於還再跑新秀合約的球員(大多位在左上角),通常有更大的機會超越其合約價值。
Injuries obviously play a role (ex. Ja Morant). It is an unfortunate reality, but still a reality. Another example is Joel Embiid, who has having a historic season and outperforming his contract by a huge margin all year until he missed the last two months.
傷病顯然扮演了巨大的角色(例如Ja Morant)。這是一個不幸的現實,但就是現實。另一個例子是Joel Embiid,他在整個賽季都有著歷史性的表現,並且一直大幅超出他的合約價值,直到錯過了近兩個月。
Being in a negatives does not mean a player is having a bad season. Example, Steph Curry. All it suggests is that Curry’s value is closer to ~$49M than ~$52M this season.
處於溢價區並不意味著該球員有一個糟糕的賽季。例如,Steph Curry。這只是表示他的價值在此計算下,更接近49M。
The analysis tends to hurt players with big contracts playing a smaller role this season, Jrue Holiday and Beal are examples of that.
這項分析不利於扮演較小角色的高薪球員,Jrue Holiday和Bradley Beal就是這樣的例子。
想看更細節的每支球隊結果在以下連結:
https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777762629911707695
--
先找西門
咖哩溢價欸
咖哩就差不多合約價值 他這季確實表現就那樣
溢價三巨頭:比爾、西門、拉文
今天還有人說Ayton要賣應該很多隊要買 笑死
Jrue是能說扮演小角色 Beal能算嗎?
咖哩就合約太貴 只論場上表現的確算溢價
我大西門 躺著賺
都什麼年代了還在看坦隊刷的傳統數據
咖喱還是溢價
沒可愛怒噓
https://imgur.com/L3qYjQA 這網站是羊殺隊嗎
西門ww
防守評分不高嗎 狗貝怎麼這麼低
NAW最近越打越好 9M/2Y也超便宜 感謝爵士
Irving居然是負的
難怪會傳聞老鷹想賣吹羊?
他是看EPM的 狗貝OEPM比較低 不過也溢價一點而已
范喬丹竟然是正的
可愛應該是跟pg重疊了
大SGA真的很頂級又超值啊
塔克老師11M然後負那麼多代表是負的嗎?XD
KI是因為有缺賽一陣子
詹酸臉腫翻車囉
西門笑死
勞工之光 西門
不用看就知道最溢價的是誰 勞工楷模當仁不讓
吹羊也是因為薪水高 然後缺賽太多 這表就沒排除受傷
這網路是普殺隊
網站
普殺隊看向西門:
比爾真的好貴…
繼續吹溢價史一控xdddd
未看推文先猜最右邊最下面比爾拉文西門
那兩個小犢出品的是怎樣 上面不冷嗎
塔克老師
沒啥參考意義
哇砲哥有這麼溢價嗎?
怎沒可愛
森哥肯定屬於超級超值
青賽杰倫在哪啊?
咖哩就是聯盟頂薪,表現也頂級,身手不愧對薪水阿
不用看就知道誰最紅
小白!
花環沒想到在那個位置
PG打比較多場的關係嗎
縱軸應該是應該多拿(少拿)的薪資吧
非新人約的球隊一哥,最便宜的是森哥嗎??
咖哩溢價蠻合理的,就跟吃高級餐廳cp 值很低一樣
狗貝的價值不容易被看見啊
Kuzma更便宜一點
大橋應該是最便宜 太早續約了
大頭森真的尼克賺爛了
西門笑死
梅西是什麼廉價勞工嗎XD
所以sga應該領73m?
拉文真的有夠廢
推黃字解說怎麼解讀這項數據,鉛筆是個季中受傷病
影響的好例子,兩個月前還在藍點超值範圍,現在落
到黃點區
西門倒是屹立不搖Xd
curry真的是溢價啊 什麼鬼領導力啊
先找西門就對了
爆
[花邊] Woj:KT期望今夏能得到頂薪級別的提前Woj:KT期望今夏能得到頂薪級別的提前續約合約 Thompson who I'm told has an expectation that that he would be rewarded with a n ew Max level contract extension this off season. He's got a year left on his dea l at 43 million dollars next year you know he's come back this year and it's cer tainly helped the team to a championship last year. Had a historic offensive sea爆
[外絮] Pelinka透露龜龜尚未決定是否執行球員選項Pelinka透露要龜龜成為一名防守第一的球員,龜龜尚未決定是否執行球員選項 Although he has been an assistant coach for a lot of years, being a head coach c omes with a lot of pressure. Additionally, he has the difficult task of managing LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and Russell Westbrook. 雖然Ham已經當了很多年的助理教練,但當總教練的壓力很大。此外,他還面臨著管理LBJ、爆
[外絮] 季前FVV認為自己值3000萬-3500萬的年薪季前FVV認為自己是一名均薪3000萬-3500萬的球員 Fred VanVleet is a solid point guard that is considered to be among the best in the league, and he is currently averaging 19.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, and 6.5 APG for the Toronto Raptors. FVV是一名穩定的控衛,被認為是聯盟最好的控衛之一,他目前在多倫多暴龍隊場均19.3分爆
Re: [情報] Harden直接說Morey是騙子Here’s the CBA language for Withholding Services: Withholding services: A player who withholds playing services called for by a Pl ayer Contract for more than thirty (30) days after the start of the last Season covered by his Player Contract shall be deemed not to have “complet[ed] his Pla爆
[外絮] RJ:離開泡泡時的AD還是聯盟前五,但他RJ:離開泡泡時的AD還是聯盟前五,但他現在已經被字母哥、阿肥、鉛筆超過 Anthony Davis was considered a Top 5 player in the NBA, especially at his peak i n the Bubble, when he helped the Los Angeles Lakers to the championship in 2020. With LeBron James showing no signs of declining individually, more deep playoff runs and perhaps even championships were expected for the duo. Still, it hasn't爆
[外絮] 記者分析LBJ續約與否的湖人未來記者Eric Pincus撰文分析LBJ續約與否的湖人未來 "Based on my conversations with people who have a strong sense of such things, i t's clear James is considering playing out this contract rather than signing a t wo-year extension this summer," Sam Amick of The Athletic recently wrote. "... [ James] could go back to the year-by-year approach he perfected in his second Cle82
[外絮] Siakam跟Anunoby的交易價值是”一大堆”的Siakam跟Anunoby的交易價值是”一大堆”的選秀權跟年輕球員 It seems as though Toronto Raptors stars Pascal Siakam and O.G. Anunoby have a l ot of trade value right now. 看起來多倫多暴龍隊的球星Pascal Siakam和O.G. Anunoby現在有很大的交易價值。 Toronto has gotten off to a slow start in the 2022-23 campaign, sitting in the N25
Re: [情報] Harry Giles III 雙向合約加盟湖人今天我才學到新的CBA規範,Harry Giles III rule 雙向合約,是只可以開給年資沒超過四年的球員。 A new provision on two-way contracts in the new CBA will informally be dubbed the “Harry Giles III rule,” which will allow NBA players who sit out an20
Re: [花邊] The Athletic 今年各位置的最佳排名光看排名 你"可能覺得這排名在亂排" 畢竟上面那篇 沒有Po出作者對此排名的"標準"在哪 以下為濃縮版翻譯說明 (The Athletic) 首先作者-前公鹿籃球分析主管 Seth Partnow 有提出一些假設條件10
[討論] 2023CBA的二輪特例根據新版CBA 246頁的二輪特例 (k) Second Round Pick Exception. A Team that holds the draft rights to a Second Round Pick may use the Second Round Pick Exception to sign such player to a Player Contract in accordance with the following: (1) The term of a Player Contract signed pursuant to the Second Round Pick Exception must be either: (i) two (2) Seasons with an Option in favor of the Team for a third Season; or (ii) three (3) Seasons with an Option in favor of the Team for a fourth Season. (2) If a Player Contract signed pursuant to the Second Round Pick Exception has a term of two (2) Seasons with an Option in favor of the Team for a third Season, then such Contract must provide for: (i) Salary plus Unlikely Bonuses for the first Season of up to the Minimum Player Salary applicable to a player with one (1) Year of Service; and
爆
[花邊] AE:喬丹是GOAT 我無法和他相提並論爆
[情報] Gobert不打G2爆
[情報] 年度最佳新秀 : Victor Wembanyama爆
[花邊] Victor Wembanyama 史上第六位全票新人王爆
[情報] Jalen Brunson成為93喬丹後第一位連4場季後賽40+87
[花邊] Ben Simmons 參加 Met Gala 2024爆
[花邊] Pat Riley:如果你現在不是在場上打球 你應該要閉嘴85
[情報] Gobert個人因素G2出戰成疑27
[花邊] 灰狼上半場防守 老巴:最佳防守隊伍之一X
[花邊] 季後賽第一輪嗨賴22
[外絮] Lawrence Frank:今年夏天的目標就是簽回PG與Harden7
Re: [情報] ESPN專家群預測附加賽&首輪結果