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[問題] 2025溫網決賽的勝負關鍵

看板Tennis標題[問題] 2025溫網決賽的勝負關鍵作者
vincentgotu
(網壇的人)
時間推噓25 推:27 噓:2 →:22

最好的方式當然是問Wimbledon. 於是我就問Wimbledon match chat:

tell me what's the numbers that Sinner did better than Alcaraz

過了幾秒鐘, 他回答: Jannik Sinner did better than Carlos Alcaraz in committingunforced errors, with 40 compared to Alcaraz's 36, and also won more return
points, securing 44 out of 121, whereas Alcaraz won 36 out of 117.

咦? 40比36好嗎? 怪怪的. 但回發球是Sinner比較好, 這個資訊正確

還進一步問我: What else would you like to know? Select an option:

Duration
Break Point Conversion
Unforced Errors

我選第2個, 他這次沒思考了, 立回: During the match, the break point conversionrate for Jannik Sinner was 44%, and for Carlos Alcaraz it was 33%.

於是這樣的模式, 我在Wimbledon match chat的引導下, 點選Second Serve Point
Won %. 答案是: Jannik Sinner won 60% of points on their second serve, while
Carlos Alcaraz won 51% of points on their second serve during the match.

但如果我自己發問: what about first serve point on %? 他就會思考比較久, 但還是回答了: Jannik Sinner won 75% of his first serve points, while Carlos Alcaraz
also won 75% of his first serve points

後來我問了這個
Net Points Won
也是回很快: Jannik Sinner won 30 net points, while Carlos Alcaraz won 17 net
points in the match.


好了, 以這個問題做結: what about net point won %?

Jannik Sinner won 75% of his net approaches, taking 30 net points out of 40
approaches, while Carlos Alcaraz won 74% of his net approaches, securing 17
net points out of 23 approaches.

這樣看起來Sinner的數據是大部分領先Alcaraz的, 搭配整場看下來, Carlos的強力正拍跟雙反變線雖然一樣噁心, 但Jannik似乎不受威脅. 反而是球王的超快速抽球, 讓Carlos出現了比較多的非受迫, 或者也算是受迫失誤, 所以我又續問match chat:
I: let me know the numbers of forced errors for each players during the finalC: I see you're curious about ‘Match Stats’. Do you want to know more?
Yes
No
I: yes but just show me the numbers of forced errors in men's final
C: Sorry, I don't have enough information to answer that here. Please click Homebutton to reset the chat and explore this topic further!

好, 看來他無法回答了. 我自己問了一下winner:
Jannik Sinner hit 40 winners, while Carlos Alcaraz hit 38 winners during the
match.

結論: Match chat蠻有意思的, 但其實直接看match report比較快

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※ 編輯: vincentgotu (134.231.162.123 臺灣), 07/14/2025 10:45:45 ※ 編輯: vincentgotu (134.231.162.123 臺灣), 07/14/2025 10:49:06 ※ 編輯: vincentgotu (134.231.162.123 臺灣), 07/14/2025 10:51:23 ※ 編輯: vincentgotu (134.231.162.123 臺灣), 07/14/2025 10:53:19

Ncode 07/14 11:02溫網是不是沒有提供1-5拍 5-9 9+的數據對比

Ncode 07/14 11:05體感5拍以上A卡幾乎壓倒性優勢 辛靠優秀的一二發品

Ncode 07/14 11:05質保發 接發球局則搶攻卡二發 求5板內攻死

jerry771204 07/14 11:15即視感辛感覺就是囧

jerry771204 07/14 11:15只是沒有囧年輕來的變態

Lemonfish00407/14 11:19卡昨天發球太差 到後面三四盤一發進球太低 二發被

Lemonfish00407/14 11:19辛巴爛

billion512 07/14 11:23分數多的贏 分數少的輸

Ncode 07/14 11:25抱歉 網球還真不一定分數多的贏 尤其是五盤的

Myeh1720 07/14 11:30網球很常出現得分多但輸掉的比賽啊......

coolboy16 07/14 11:31說分數多的贏 少的輸的是第一次看網球….?

ygjhsu 07/14 11:38卡沒有一盤打到搶七 發球局不夠穩

ygjhsu 07/14 11:38這個不穩當然跟一發進球率太低有關 二發就居於劣勢

kenclyde 07/14 11:50分數多的贏,2019的費爸表示?

Myeh1720 07/14 11:52卡就沒有一發 每次都落入二發會有壓力,不是冒險拼

Myeh1720 07/14 11:52一個之後雙誤就是打安全的但被巴,平常擅長的小球又

Myeh1720 07/14 11:53都不進,沒辦法有效調動辛納 所以輸了

Myeh1720 07/14 11:56正拍也時不時失靈 很多打長的球

kenclyde 07/14 11:57其實辛的法網一發也輸給卡一些

linkinpk6 07/14 11:58關鍵就是藥

Myeh1720 07/14 12:00但辛法網的一發應該沒有低到剩45%以下吧

Myeh1720 07/14 12:02低到45%以下的一發發進率真的會很有壓力,除非二發

Myeh1720 07/14 12:02能夠很有效的執行,不然很多分都會送掉

Ncode 07/14 12:03辛法網5盤 overall 54% 算蠻不好的

Ncode 07/14 12:05是昨天二發得分有60% 法網只有50 會不會被破差在這

coolboy16 07/14 12:14卡第三盤之後的發球狀態掉太快了

risingsuns 07/14 12:20説藥的要多可憐

mattch 07/14 12:23通常都是沒看比賽硬要嘴一句

b99202071 07/14 12:23對啊 2發Alcaraz草地上這次沒退超遠去拉上旋

coolboy16 07/14 12:28有沒有可能在草地退很後面拉上旋效果比不上在紅土

coolboy16 07/14 12:29,而且會被巴回來?

b99202071 07/14 12:31或是怕拉不夠深 拉太大力又會噴出界?

b99202071 07/14 12:32這問題不解決 Alcaraz草地以後大概都很難贏皇帝了

b99202071 07/14 12:33實際上也是從他開始會這樣接發才對皇帝連勝的

b99202071 07/14 12:34在那之前皇帝...痾那時是太子H2H4:3領先

mnyan0503 07/14 12:58場地特性適合偏平擊快節奏的辛

a12841 07/14 14:02勝負關鍵就是盤數多的人贏 盤數少的人輸

HanKWanG199407/14 14:03冷知識:分數多的不一定會贏喔

mattch 07/14 14:23阿卡這波連勝前算有來有往,一度以為鴨尼要打不贏

mattch 07/14 14:23阿卡了

lovefather 07/14 15:14發球狀態差距跟草地適合偏快速平抽,太有利辛了,

lovefather 07/14 15:14能速戰速決策略下優勢明顯

alex2426chen07/14 15:28網球妙的是數據不如對方但是還可以贏球

cmpunk566 07/14 17:08藥王弱點就是上旋球之前豆示範過希望有人跟阿卡說

mercuries2 07/14 17:11上旋球也要紅土場地彈得高才有用,硬地,草地應該

mercuries2 07/14 17:11對辛沒什麼殺傷力

asdfzx 07/14 20:33關鍵在於新藥

b99202071 07/14 21:50硬地看場地 其實草地這場一開始似乎也還是有點用的

b99202071 07/14 21:51但效果會大打折扣沒錯

XXPLUS 07/14 23:33卡每盤都被辛穩穩破一局,真的太浪

b99202071 07/16 22:08這次就他自己真的打不贏而已