[分享] Jeff Passan 談佐佐木朗希

https://es.pn/4g2Eoyb

Jeff Passan寫的今年自由球員預覽

第三位寫到佐佐木朗希

說大家都在猜朗希今年會不會入札，但這些風聲充滿了矛盾的資訊，然後整理了ESPN目前藉由國內外來源得到的消息

There has been widespread speculation about whether Sasaki, the 22-year-old phenom from Japan, will be posted to MLB this winter. The speculation is filled with contradictory information that does not reflect the current state of Sasaki's plans. Here, from domestic and international sources, is what ESPN learned aboutwhere Sasaki stands.

1) Sasaki wanted to enter the posting system, which allows for the transfer of Japanese players to MLB, last offseason. He would have forfeited hundreds of millions of dollars in a potential future contract. Any player under 25 years old who gets posted is subject to international signing restrictions, which would limit Sasaki's potential signing bonus to less than $10 million, as happened when Ohtani was posted by the Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters at 23. Sasaki's team, the Chiba Lotte Marines, said no.

2) Sasaki's relationship with the Marines was damaged accordingly, and he wantsto leave again. The Marines plan to decide whether to put Sasaki in the postingsystem after the season. Were they to do so before 2026, they would receive a posting fee of less than $2 million. By contrast, the Orix Buffaloes received a $50.6 million fee from the Dodgers on the deal for Yamamoto, who was 25.

3) Sasaki is in the midst of arguably the worst year of his career but still has posted elite numbers (2.45 ERA, 91 strikeouts, 25 walks, two home runs in 77 innings) and impressed scouts with his stuff, particularly a triple-digit fastball and devastating splitter. Evaluators still believe Sasaki is one of the most talented pitchers in the world, but he did miss time earlier this season because of a right arm injury.

大致提到

1.佐佐木去年就想入札，因為目前大聯盟海外簽約對25歲以下球員的限制，他會因此損失一大筆錢。此要求遭羅德拒絕。

2.雙方關係因此有些受損，佐佐木今年還是想離開，羅德則計畫在賽季後做出決定。如果在2026年以前放人的話羅德只能拿不到200萬美元的轉隊費，相較之下去年的歐牛拿了5060萬。

3.佐佐木今年投出生涯最差表現，不過球探還是對他的球威印象深刻，特別是速球跟指叉球。評估者仍然認為他是地表上最有才華的投手之一，但今年也因為右手傷勢錯過一部分賽季。

In short: No one knows whether Sasaki will be posted. Lotte controls the entireprocess and can keep Sasaki through the 2026 season if it so desires. The decision should come around mid-November, following the conclusion of the Nippon Professional Baseball season. If Sasaki is posted, the mania will not resemble last year with Yamamoto, when seven large-market teams climbed over one another for his services. With the difference in international bonus money available to teamsnegligible, the differentiator in Sasaki's case would not be money. All 30 teams will scramble to find out what it is if the most intriguing player this winterfinds his way to MLB..

簡言之，沒人知道佐佐木今年會不會入札。羅德控制了整個過程，他們想的話可以等2026年再放人。該決定應該會等到11月中旬日職球季結束後出爐。

如果羅德真的放人也不會出現像山本由伸那種7隊競價的熱潮。由於各隊可以出的簽約金相差沒多少，能影響他意向的東西不是錢。假設佐佐木今年就要旅美的話，所有球隊都會想找出這個決定因素是什麼。

大概是這樣

--