Re: [閒聊] 岡本到MLB能守三壘身價會比村上高嗎

It’s possible Okamoto, a right-handed batter, ends up being a safer pick for MLB teams in terms of immediate results than Murakami — it’s just that at 29, he is four years older.
Like Murakami, Okamoto is a power-hitting corner type. He homered off Kyle Freeland to help Japan beat Team USA in the 2023 WBC. Unlike Murakami, Okamoto has better bat-to-ball skills, improved his performance against velocity (an 84 percent contact rate against 94 mph and above in 2025, per Fangraphs) and has a better chance to stick at third base, even if first base could still be his ultimate home.
“He is going to have the easier path to adjusting to major-league pitching just because he’s got simpler mechanics; he puts the ball in play more, it’s moreof a basic swing and it’s more of a major-league-ready type of contact-swing,” another Pacific rim scout said.

Okamoto has six seasons or 30 or more home runs with the Yomiuri Giants, topping out at 41 in 2023. His raw power does not compare to Murakami and could resultin lesser home-run totals in MLB. His 2025 numbers against velocity were also agreat improvement from concerning previous performance, and there’s a small sample to account for. Okamoto missed a chunk of time with an elbow injury, the result of a collision, in 2025, but hit .322 for the season.
As an interesting comparison point, multiple evaluators suggested Okamoto resides somewhere in the middle between Murakami’s power approach and Yoshida’s contact-oriented style.

“Okamoto has power, but he is more of a pure hitter, compared to Murakami,” said an international scouting director for a NL team. “Okamoto has a chance to have a lot higher of a batting average than Murakami does, but Murakami, if theyare both healthy, ends up with more home runs.”

Okamoto (another client of Scott Boras) is already approaching the tail end of his prime, something that will surely result in him getting a much smaller deal than Murakami. There’s still reason to believe he could become a solid everydayplayer, with some club officials pointing to a two- or three-year window where he is quite productive.

“I’m very curious who actually is in the market for both these guys and how they do,” said another NL scout. “Because if they have success, it kind of blazes another pathway. Prior to Seiya (Suzuki), there’s been a lot of guys who hadsuccess in Japan. They haven’t been able to transition that success, minus Ichiro and Hideki Matsui.”

與村上相比，岡本和真是能在大聯盟更快產生即戰力的「安全牌」——只是他已經 29 歲，足足大了 4 歲。

和村上一樣，岡本也是角落守位型的長打者。他在 2023 年經典賽對上美國隊時，從freeland 手中擊出全壘打，幫助日本奪勝。不過與村上不同的是，岡本的球棒控制能力更好，對快速球的應對明顯改善（根據 FanGraphs，他在 2025 年面對 94 英里以上速球的接觸率高達 84%），而且他比較有可能在三壘站得住腳，即便最終可能仍被移到一壘。

另一位亞洲區球探說：「他面對大聯盟投球的適應難度會較小，因為他的動作更簡單、Contact更穩，也更像大聯盟ready的那種揮棒」

有趣的是，多位球探認為岡本剛好介於村上偏重長打的打法與吉田正尚偏重Contact的風格之間。

岡本（同樣是 Scott Boras 的客戶）已經接近生涯巔峰尾端，因此他的合約規模勢必會比村上小得多。不過，他仍有機會成為穩定的先發球員，部分球隊高層認為他至少有兩到三年可以維持高度生產力

另一名國聯球探說：「我很好奇實際上會有哪些球隊同時追求這兩個人，以及他們會表現如何。因為如果他們成功了，可能會開啟另一條途徑。在鈴木誠也之前，很多在日本很成功的球員到了美國並沒有完全轉換成功，除了鈴木、鈴木一朗和松井秀喜之外。」

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