Re: [問卦] 最高峰才增加了4000人，穩了吧？

※ 引述《s910211 (我愛PTT)》之銘言：
: 達給厚
: 今天確診個案數為50780人
: 跟之前的最高確診個案數46377人比起來
: 才增加了大概四千人左右
: 這是不是表示應該穩了？！
: 有卦嗎？
最近的新增本土成長倍率

日期 新增本土 新增本土成長倍率
03/19/22 6
03/20/22 3 0.50
03/21/22 5 1.67
03/22/22 10 2.00
03/23/22 2 0.20
03/24/22 15 7.50
03/25/22 14 0.93
03/26/22 21 1.50
03/27/22 83 3.95
03/28/22 34 0.41
03/29/22 33 0.97
03/30/22 56 1.70
03/31/22 87 1.55
04/01/22 104 1.20
04/02/22 160 1.54
04/03/22 183 1.14
04/04/22 133 0.73
04/05/22 216 1.62
04/06/22 281 1.30
04/07/22 382 1.36
04/08/22 384 1.01
04/09/22 442 1.15
04/10/22 431 0.98
04/11/22 439 1.02
04/12/22 551 1.26
04/13/22 744 1.35
04/14/22 874 1.17
04/15/22 1209 1.38
04/16/22 1199 0.99
04/17/22 1210 1.01
04/18/22 1390 1.15
04/19/22 1626 1.17
04/20/22 2386 1.47
04/21/22 2969 1.24
04/22/22 3766 1.27
04/23/22 4126 1.10
04/24/22 5092 1.23
04/25/22 5108 1.00
04/26/22 6295 1.23
04/27/22 8822 1.40
04/28/22 11353 1.29
04/29/22 11974 1.05
04/30/22 15033 1.26
05/01/22 16936 1.13
05/02/22 17858 1.05
05/03/22 23102 1.29
05/04/22 28420 1.23
05/05/22 30035 1.06
05/06/22 36168 1.20
05/07/22 45377 1.25
05/08/22 44294 0.98
05/09/22 40263 0.91
05/10/22 50780 1.26

依照五日平均新增倍率計算未來全國染疫率

大約六月十六日本土確診就會到達百分之百

日期 新增本土 新增倍率 累計本土 全國染疫率 新增全國染疫%
05/05/22 30,035 1.0568 205602 0.0089 0.0013
05/06/22 36,168 1.2042 241770 0.0105 0.0016
05/07/22 45,377 1.2546 287147 0.0125 0.0020
05/08/22 44,294 0.9761 331441 0.0144 0.0019
05/09/22 40,263 0.9090 371704 0.0162 0.0018
05/10/22 50,780 1.2612 422484 0.0184 0.0022
05/11/22 64,044 1.1103 486528 0.0212 0.0028
05/12/22 71,110 1.1192 557638 0.0242 0.0031
05/13/22 79,590 1.1051 637228 0.0277 0.0035
05/14/22 87,954 1.0802 725181 0.0315 0.0038
05/15/22 95,004 1.0975 820186 0.0357 0.0041
05/16/22 104,268 1.1289 924454 0.0402 0.0045
05/17/22 117,711 1.1069 1042164 0.0453 0.0051
05/18/22 130,291 1.1063 1172455 0.0510 0.0057
05/19/22 144,141 1.1041 1316596 0.0572 0.0063
05/20/22 159,152 1.1040 1475749 0.0642 0.0069
05/21/22 175,702 1.1080 1651451 0.0718 0.0076
05/22/22 194,670 1.1097 1846121 0.0803 0.0085
05/23/22 216,025 1.1065 2062146 0.0897 0.0094
05/24/22 239,030 1.1064 2301176 0.1001 0.0104
05/25/22 264,470 1.1065 2565646 0.1115 0.0115
05/26/22 292,623 1.1068 2858269 0.1243 0.0127
05/27/22 323,886 1.1073 3182155 0.1384 0.0141
05/28/22 358,642 1.1072 3540797 0.1539 0.0156
05/29/22 397,090 1.1068 3937887 0.1712 0.0173
05/30/22 439,494 1.1068 4377381 0.1903 0.0191
05/31/22 486,448 1.1069 4863828 0.2115 0.0211
06/01/22 538,451 1.1070 5402279 0.2349 0.0234
06/02/22 596,054 1.1070 5998333 0.2608 0.0259
06/03/22 659,834 1.1070 6658167 0.2895 0.0287
06/04/22 730,404 1.1069 7388571 0.3212 0.0318
06/05/22 808,492 1.1069 8197063 0.3564 0.0352
06/06/22 894,945 1.1069 9092008 0.3953 0.0389
06/07/22 990,656 1.1070 10082665 0.4384 0.0431
06/08/22 1,096,611 1.1069 11179276 0.4861 0.0477
06/09/22 1,213,893 1.1069 12393169 0.5388 0.0528
06/10/22 1,343,707 1.1069 13736876 0.5973 0.0584
06/11/22 1,487,402 1.1069 15224278 0.6619 0.0647
06/12/22 1,646,470 1.1069 16870748 0.7335 0.0716
06/13/22 1,822,552 1.1069 18693299 0.8128 0.0792
06/14/22 2,017,465 1.1069 20710765 0.9005 0.0877
06/15/22 2,233,221 1.1069 22943985 0.9976 0.0971
06/16/22 2,472,048 1.1069 25416033 1.1050 0.1075

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用用看30日平均吧 死更快 本月底前就能超英趕美 下個月領先全球 日期 新增本土 新增倍率 累計本土 全國染疫率 新增全國染疫% 05/09/22 40,263 0.9090 371704 0.0162 05/10/22 50,780 1.2612 422484 0.0184 05/11/22 64,044 1.1804 486528 0.0212 05/12/22 75,598 1.1858 562126 0.0244 05/13/22 89,644 1.1835 651771 0.0283 05/14/22 106,093 1.1779 757864 0.0330 05/15/22 124,971 1.1780 882835 0.0384 05/16/22 147,220 1.1712 1030055 0.0448 05/17/22 172,424 1.1772 1202478 0.0523 05/18/22 202,973 1.1828 1405452 0.0611 05/19/22 240,073 1.1839 1645525 0.0715 05/20/22 284,225 1.1844 1929750 0.0839 05/21/22 336,632 1.1749 2266381 0.0985 05/22/22 395,525 1.1726 2661906 0.1157 05/23/22 463,807 1.1694 3125713 0.1359 05/24/22 542,396 1.1719 3668109 0.1595 05/25/22 635,636 1.1698 4303746 0.1871 05/26/22 743,587 1.1754 5047333 0.2194 05/27/22 874,002 1.1735 5921335 0.2574 05/28/22 1,025,630 1.1659 6946965 0.3020 05/29/22 1,195,771 1.1619 8142737 0.3540 05/30/22 1,389,313 1.1654 9532050 0.4144 05/31/22 1,619,144 1.1624 11151194 0.4848 06/01/22 1,882,135 1.1636 13033329 0.5667 06/02/22 2,190,091 1.1673 15223419 0.6619 06/03/22 2,556,405 1.1630 17779824 0.7730 06/04/22 2,973,219 1.1608 20753043 0.9023 06/05/22 3,451,337 1.1643 24204380 1.0524