[外絮] 聯盟準備公布2020-21薪資及奢侈稅預測

來源: ESPN
網址: https://tinyurl.com/tvyzgql

Sources: NBA set to release revised 2020-21 salary and luxury tax projections聯盟準備公布更新的2020-21薪資以及奢侈稅的預測

The NBA has alerted teams to the impending release of adjusted 2020-2021
salary and luxury tax projections, signaling the likelihood that a decline inrevenue will cause a drop in the figures, league sources tell ESPN.
根據消息來源指出，聯盟已經通知各隊，將會公布調整過的2020-21薪資以及奢侈稅的預測，可能因為收入減少而導致要比之前的預測值更少。

The league office is expected to deliver revised projections as soon as
Thursday, an accommodation that allows for teams to make more informed
financial and roster decisions ahead of the February 6 trade deadline.
聯盟辦公室被認為會在本周四將預測數據送給各球團，好讓球團在2/6交易大限前讓球團有更詳盡的數據好做財務上以及名單上的決定。

The advanced notice and pre-trade deadline timing of these looming
projections, communicated in a recent league memo, is a departure from past
protocol.
這次的通知以及在交易大限公布數據，以及最近聯盟備忘錄，都跟之前的流程不同。

The loss of the league's China-driven revenue has caused many front office
executives to tell ESPN that they've been preparing for the possibility that
the original 2020-2021 cap projection of $116 million could drop down as far
as $113 million.
因為少了跟中國有關的收入導致許多球團制服組告訴ESPN，他們已經準備好了明年2020-21的預測可能會從先前的1億1600萬鎂掉到1億1300萬鎂的可能性。

Teams inquiring with the league office on acquiring some sense of the
projections to come were told that they would have to wait until the NBA
shared those figures in a formal release.
一些球隊有先跟聯盟辦公室詢問，想知道一些內容，但是被告知說要等到聯盟正式公布那些數據才行。

These projections have impact on such items as free agency cap space, luxury
tax payouts and player contracts based on percentages of the salary cap --
including as maximum deals and mid-level exceptions.
這些預測對於FA的薪資，奢侈稅的稅額，以及一些球員的薪水是根據薪資帽的百分比來
算，有著莫大的影響--包括了頂薪約以及中產特例。

China's decision to pull sponsorships and television coverage because RocketsGM Daryl Morey tweeted support for Hong Kong sovereignty in October is
believed to have cost the NBA anywhere between $150 million and $200 million,league sources said.
聯盟消息來源說，因為火箭總管在10月在推特上支持香港導致中國決定取消贊助以及電視轉播，一般認為這讓聯盟損失約1億5000萬到2億鎂。

Based on ESPN's conversations with team executives, the potential drop in
revenue isn't expected to significantly impact the deadline behavior of
teams. Salary cap space is less important this summer than in past years,
because only seven teams are currently poised to have salary cap space above
the projected $9.8 million mid-level exception. Also, the talent pool of
players available in free agent isn't considered strong.
ESPN跟一些球隊高層談過，認為預測值的降低並不會對球隊在今年交易大限前會有顯著的影響。薪資帽空間比過去幾年夏天休賽季時不重要，因為也只有七隊目前薪資帽空間比預期的980萬鎂中產特例來的多。此外，今年在FA市場的球員天賦被認為並不很強。

The projected luxury tax figure had been $141M, which largely impacts teams
like Boston, Brooklyn, Golden State, Houston and Philadelphia who are
expected to be luxury tax teams in 2020-21. Three more teams - Denver,
Milwaukee and the Los Angeles Clippers - could be in the tax pending the
retaining of their own free agents.
之前預測的奢侈稅線是1億4100萬鎂，主要影響青賽，籃網，勇士，火箭以及76人這幾隊在2020-21會要付奢侈稅的隊伍。另外三隊--金塊，公鹿以及快艇--若是留下他們的FA球員就可能會要付稅。

For example, the Warriors -- considered a repeater tax team -- would lose $14million if the tax projection dropped $3 million. With an extension for
Draymond Green starting next season, the salary slot for a potential Top 5
draft pick in the 2020 draft and full use of the $5.9 million exception on a
free agent this summer, the Warriors could face a nearly $80 million penalty
if the tax drops to $138 million. Golden State was projected to pay $65
million in tax with a $141 million salary cap.
舉例來說，勇士隊--已經是連續付奢侈稅的隊伍--若是奢侈稅線降300萬鎂的話，他們會多損失1400萬鎂。嘴綠在續約後下季正式開始，2020選秀前五順位的薪資，加上今年夏季若用掉590萬鎂的特例找FA的話，奢侈稅線若是在1億3800萬，他們得要付8000萬鎂的稅。若是按照原本預測的奢侈稅線1億4100萬，他們本來預計是要付6500萬鎂的奢侈稅的。

Other contending teams -- including the Utah Jazz, Miami Heat and Los AngelesLakers -- could be impacted over a decrease in projected luxury tax. For
instance, the Lakers would become hard-capped if they use the full $9.8
million except this summer, which would limit their flexibility to make a
trade next season.
另外的一些爭冠隊伍--包括爵士，熱火以及湖人--也會受到奢侈稅線下降的影響。比如
說，若是湖人今夏用掉了全額980萬鎂未稅特例的話，他們薪資就會觸發硬上限，他們
下一季交易的彈性就會受到了限制。

A salary cap decrease of $3 million impacts the class of rookie contract
extensions signed over the past year, including Philadelphia's Ben Simmons
and Denver's Jamal Murray ($4.3 million) and Toronto's Pascal Siakam ($3.3
million). Maximum contracts are based upon percentages of the salary cap.
薪資帽的下降也會影響去年一些簽新人續約的球員，包括了76人的Ben Simmons，金塊的Jamal Murray(430萬鎂)以及暴龍的Pascal Siakam(330萬鎂)。頂薪約是按照薪資帽百分比算的。
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