Fw: [外電] Tatum如何改變自己的比賽並成為明星

※ [本文轉錄自 Celtics 看板 #1UKa5o6_ ]

作者: Coetzee (._.) 看板: Celtics
標題: [外電] Tatum如何改變自己的比賽並成為明星
時間: Sun Feb 23 17:10:00 2020

原文連結
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-jayson-tatum-changed-his-game-and-
became-a-star/
https://reurl.cc/245jyO

How Jayson Tatum Changed His Game And Became A Star

By Jared Dubin

Filed under NBA

https://i.imgur.com/CfgXAZk.jpg

Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics seems to be making the leap to stardom.
CARMEN MANDATO / GETTY IMAGES

Back in 2017, the Boston Celtics secured the No. 1 overall selection in the NBA draft thanks to a pick swap acquired in the famed Paul Pierce/Kevin Garnett
blockbuster trade. Just about everyone thought that University of Washington
guard Markelle Fultz was the top available prospect, but Celtics general
manager Danny Ainge saw things differently. Rather than standing pat and
selecting the player nearly everyone viewed as the best prospect, Ainge tradeddown and almost immediately declared that he expected to get the same player at No. 3 that he would have taken at No. 1.

早在2017，波士頓賽爾提克隊在選秀會上獲得了第一順位，由於在著名的PP/KG的重磅炸彈交易案中獲得了選秀籤交換權。幾乎每個人都認為華盛頓大學後衛Fultz是最佳潛力新秀，但是安吉卻有不同見解。沒有打安全牌去選擇公認的最佳新秀，安吉向下交易而且幾乎立即宣布他在第三順位得到他預期會在第一指名選擇的新秀。

The twists and turns taken by Fultz’s career were hardly foreseeable, but
three years in, Ainge is looking pretty prescient for having identified JaysonTatum as his guy. Fresh off the first All-Star appearance of his career, Tatumis in the process of taking the leap to stardom.

Fultz的職涯曲折是無法預料的，但是三年下來，安吉選擇Tatum似乎頗具先見之明。Tatum在他職涯第一個全明星賽場嶄露頭角後，就開始躍向明星之路。

He’s working on career-best averages in points, rebounds, assists, steals,
blocks, free throws and threes per game and per 36 minutes, as well as high
marks in more advanced measurements like player efficiency rating and rates for usage, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. In his last 14 games prior to the break (and specifically in the first half finale against the Clippers), Tatumseemed to reach even greater heights: He averaged 26.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.5 steals and one block per game during that stretch, scorching the nets to the tune of 50 percent from the field, 44.5 percent from three and a61.8 true shooting percentage.

Tatum的得分，籃板，助攻，抄截，火鍋，罰球跟三分球不管是per game或per 36 mins都達到生涯新高，並在進階數據上如PER，Usage rate，籃板率，助攻率，抄截率，火鍋率等也很突出。而在明星賽周前14場比賽（特別是上半季最後一場對快艇的比賽），Tatum達到更高的高度。這段期間他場均26.6分7.0籃板3.1助攻1.5抄截還有1個火鍋，同時有火熱手感，FG% 50.0%，3P% 44.5%，TS% 61.8%。

Last year, Tatum was often criticized for indulging in too many of the game’sworst shots: long twos. He came into this season vowing to get better looks,
and he has indeed shifted his shot distribution in a far more desirable
direction. Only 8.8 percent of his shot profile is comprised of attempts
between 16 and 23 feet from the basket, down from 16.9 percent a year ago.
Overall, he is taking a far greater share of his shots from three and inside
the paint, and far fewer from the midrange area.

去年，Tatum因沉迷在比賽中屢次出手那些高難度投籃(long two)而飽受批評。他進入這個賽季發誓要看起來更好，實際上，Tatum的投籃分布已經朝著更理想的方向發展。他只有8.8%的出手是介於16呎-23呎，從去年的16.9%下降了不少。總體而言，他內線還有三分線的出手比例提高許多，而中距離則下降不少。

Share of shots by area on the court for Jayson Tatum in each of his first threeseasons

https://i.imgur.com/CXxbKq2.png

Those tweaks have allowed Tatum to take a step forward in shooting efficiencydespite increasing his usage rate by 6 percentage points, not finishing quiteas well near the rim and only shooting a tick better from beyond the arc thanhe did a year ago. Perhaps even more impressively, Tatum has made these strides while creating more of his own looks than ever before. During his rookie year, 56.5 percent of his 2-point baskets were assisted, according to Basketball-
Reference.com. That figure is now down to 46.2 percent. The same trend is
apparent with his triples, which were assisted 92.4 percent of the time duringhis rookie season but have been so only 60.3 percent of the time this year.

儘管Tatum的USG%提高了6%，但是這些調整使Tatum的投籃效率向前邁進一步，雖然在禁區附近的命中率沒以前好，而且只比前一年的3P%高一點。或許更令人印象深刻的是，Tatum取得了這些進步，同時創造了自己前所未有的樣貌。根據B-R網站數據，他的新秀賽季兩分球受助攻率56.5%。現在這個數字已經降到46.2%。同樣的趨勢在他的三分球也很明顯，新秀賽記三分球受助攻率達92.4%，今年則只有60.3%。

Tatum was a clear-cut complementary player(His 19.5 percent usage rate was
below the league average.) as a rookie and more of a secondary
option behind Kyrie Irving last year (Tatum and Jaylen Brown tied for secondamong Celtics rotation players in usage last season, each checking in 7.5
percentage points behind Irving., but his shot-creating ability was one )
of his selling points as a college player, and tapping into that skill set this year has allowed him to take on co-lead scorer duties with Kemba Walker.

Tatum在菜鳥時是明顯的綠葉球員（他的USG%是19.5%，比聯盟平均低。)，去年則是KI後大多數的第二選擇（Tatum和Brown上賽季USG%並列輪替第二，落後給KI 7.5%），但是他的投籃創造能力在大學時期是一大賣點。而今年這項技能使他得以跟Kemba Walker共同
承擔第一出手點的責任。

The Celtics’ confidence in Tatum’s ability to create with the ball in his
hands is apparent in the distribution of his touches, which now allow him to
work on the ball far more often. According to Second Spectrum, 63 percent of
action involving Tatum during his rookie season was off the ball (i.e., off-
ball screens and dribble hand-offs) compared with 37 percent on the ball (i.e., pick and rolls, isolations and post-ups). This season, those numbers have
nearly flipped: On-ball action now accounts for 58 percent of Tatum’s total.

賽爾提克對於Tatum處理球的能力充滿信心，從他觸球分佈上可以明顯看出，他現在更頻繁持球。根據Second Spectrum的數據，新秀賽季中Tatum所進行的動作中有63%處於無球狀態（即無球掩護以及運球遞手傳球），而在持球狀態（擋拆、單打以及背框單打中僅37%）。這個賽季這些數據幾乎翻背：現在持球狀態幾乎來到58%。

Jayson Tatum's share of on-ball vs. off-ball plays by season
https://i.imgur.com/ACEmFpE.png

Tatum has also rewarded the Celtics for their faith in his ability to self-
create. He has been a more efficient scorer in all of the aforementioned
actions this season, but the strides he’s taken in isolation and the pick androll have been particularly impressive.

Tatum以優異的表現回報賽爾提克相信他的得分創造能力。這個賽季他在上述所有持球動作已經是更有效率的得分手，但他單打腳步還有擋拆特別令人印象深刻。

Boston Celtics points per possession with Jayson Tatum as a ball handler on
isolation and pick-and-roll plays
https://i.imgur.com/fH0dlkb.png

Tatum has always had a strong package of scoring moves, but this season — andespecially in recent weeks — he has used the whole set of tools together withmore regularity. His handle has gotten tighter, and he’s turning the ball over less often. He’s added some shake to his game, which has allowed him to
create more separation with his defender and get to his spots on the drive more consistently. He’s been more decisive in isolation situations, putting
together quick combinations of moves that leave his defender in the dust and
don’t allow time for a helper to get over and disrupt his path.

Tutam總是有很好的得分腳步，但是這個球季，特別是近幾周，他把他所有的得分工具一併使出且更加規律。他處理球越來越嚴密，而且回球頻率下降了。他增加了一些假晃，使他與防守者拉開空間，並更加穩定到切入攻擊點。在單打情況下，他更果段將快速的腳步組合在一起，使後衛只能在後面吃土，而且沒有足夠的時間讓協防者去阻撓他的切入。

https://streamable.com/6ir3w

In pick and rolls, he has shown a particular affinity for “putting the
defender in jail.” Tatum will often take the screen moving in one direction,
then slow down while he snakes back behind the screener, stick his butt into
the defender’s stomach, use a subtle forearm shiver to create some space and
finally hit the jets toward the rim — all of which allows him to finish more
cleanly than if he had just attacked the defender right away. Tatum’s change
of pace can result in the helper backing off and occasionally backpedaling hisway right into an additional screen, which prevents him from challenging Tatum’s shot.

在擋拆中，他表現出特別的吸引力「將防守者送入監獄」。Tatum通常會把掩護者朝一個方向移動，然後放慢速度，當他蜿蜒回到掩護者後，將他屁股頂住防守者肚子，用細微的前臂顫抖來創造一些空間，最後像噴射機加速攻擊籃框，比直接攻擊防守者乾淨許多。Tatum的腳步變話可能會使協防者退縮，並偶爾將自己的腳步退後到另一個掩護者，以避免協防者封阻Tatam的投籃。

https://streamable.com/yh7cr

As impressive as he’s been offensively, Tatum has probably been even better on defense this season. He currently ranks third in the entire NBA in ESPN.com’s Defensive Real Plus-Minus and is a legitimate candidate for a spot on the All-Defensive first team.

儘管Tatum在進攻方面讓人印象深刻，但是Tatum本賽季在防守上可能會更好。目前，他在ESPN的防守真時正負值排行榜中名列聯盟第三，並且是入選最佳防守陣容一隊合情合理的候選人。

His activity level is higher than ever, which has led to his posting career
highs so far in blocks, steals and deflections per game and per 36 minutes. And playing almost exclusively as a power forward or center has freed Tatum to
roam a bit more often, which has helped the Celtics stave off the defensive
drop-off many (myself included) predicted when they lost Al Horford to the
76ers and traded Aron Baynes to the Suns last offseason.

Tatum的活動水平比以往更高，這導致他迄今為止每場比賽或每36分鐘的火鍋、抄截和
Deflection都達職業生涯高峰。而且幾乎完全是以大前鋒或中鋒出賽，這讓Tatum更加自由地
協防，幫助賽爾提克避免許多人（包括作者本身）預測爭奪Horford輸給76ers以及交易
Baynes會出現的防守漏洞。

註：deflections這項數據是用來評斷「防守者干擾到球的路徑上，不論是讓球的方向改變、失
誤 或是讓球出界」依照此數據來評斷一個球員的防守積極性。

Boston has done well to weaponize Tatum’s versatility, freely switching him
onto opponents at any position, at any time. According to an analysis of Second Spectrum matchup data by Krishna Narsu of Nylon Calculus, Tatum is one of only three players in the league (Minimum 500 minutes played.) who has spent at
least 19 percent of his defensive possessions guarding each of point guards,
shooting guards, small forwards and power forwards. He has done so well againstprimary ball-handlers that the Celtics have even had him defending players likeChris Paul and Trae Young in the fourth quarter of recent games.

波士頓在利用Tatum多樣性使其武器化作得很好，可以隨時隨地讓他自由換防任何位置的對手。根據Nylon Calculus網站作家Krishna Narsu在Second Spectrum的分析，Tatum是聯盟唯三至少花19%防守回合在防守控球後衛、得分後衛、小前鋒和大前鋒上。
（至少打500分鐘）
他在與主要控球手的表現十分出色，甚至在最近第四節都讓他防守Chris Paul、Trae
Young等球員。

Tatum has done a better job of defending with his feet and his chest rather
than his arms and his hands, which has helped him slash his blowby rate to thelowest point of his three-year career, per Second Spectrum. In this montage,
his prowess is on display: He can quickly transition from defending a ball-
handler to switching onto a screener to helping on the drive to closing out ona shooter, and make it all look fairly routine — even while working against
some of the NBA’s best players.

Tatum在用腳還有胸部防守而不是用上肢防守做得很好，這使他漏人率降到生涯新低。在這剪輯中，他的才華得以展現，他可以迅速從防守控球員替換為防守掩護者，再去封阻射手，這一切都顯得相當常規，即使在防守的對手是NBA最佳球員之一。

https://streamable.com/mkxsm

As if his improvements as an individual offensive hub and an all-around
defender weren’t enough, Tatum has also made gains as both a rebounder and a
passer.

似乎他作為獨立進攻中樞和全能防守者的提升還不夠，Tatum同時在籃板手跟傳球手也有所成長。

According to Second Spectrum, he’s corralling rebounds 2.33 percent more often than expected, which ranks 38th out of the 160 players who have been on the
floor for at least 2,000 rebound chances this season through the All-Star break. That rate is also nearly double the one he posted during his rookie campaign. Tatum has also notched career highs in his 5.1 potential assists per game, aswell as the 7.6 points per game he’s created with those assists. Tatum’s
dishes have yielded a career-best 52.6 percent expected effective field-goal
percentage this season, and he is creating more high-value opportunities thanever before. (While 89 percent of the shots created by his passes this seasonhave resulted in shots in the paint or beyond the arc, that number was 80.1
percent last season and 81.2 percent during his rookie season.)

根據Second Spectrum的統計，Tatum的控制籃板率比預期高2.33%，在上半季至少有2000個籃板機會的160名球員中，他排名第38位。這個數據也幾乎是他在新秀期間的兩倍。Tatum還創造職涯新高的單場5.1潛在助攻，他藉由這些助攻創造每場7.6分。Tatum的傳球創造的機會在本賽季預期eFG%52.6%達生涯新高，而且他創造前所未有的高效出手機會。
（這些出手機會89%是在禁區或三分線，這個數字在上季是80.1%，菜鳥賽季是81.2%）

Tatum’s strides as a defender, rebounder and playmaker have allowed him to
contribute at a high level even in the odd game when his shot isn’t falling.
This type of all-around growth is what takes a player from promising young
talent to All-Star. Continuing that growth and also building consistency on anight-to-night basis takes that same player from All-Star to superstar. Tatumhas conquered the first part of that process, and he may be on his way to
achieving the second.

Tatum作為防守者、籃板手和組織者的顯著進步，讓他即使在打鐵的少數幾場比賽也能發揮高水平。這種全方位的成長是使球員從有前途的年輕天賦好手成長到全明星的原因。繼續成長，並在每晚都持續發揮將使Tatum從全明星成長成超級巨星。Tatum目前已經做到第一部分，他可能正在實現第二部分，走在通往超級巨星的路上。

作者: Jared Dubin is a New York writer and lawyer. He covers the NFL for CBS and the
NBA elsewhere. @jadubin5

Reddit看到的538網站好文，雖然538在預測2016總統大選烙賽XD

很少有翻譯這種長篇的機會，有錯請指正，感恩!

另外JT持續明星賽周前的表現說不定有機會拿年度最佳進步球員。

-reddit鄉民懶人包
Tl;dr less mid range shots, more shots at rim (though still could improve
efficiency here), more 3s and better in pick and roll

Tl;dr = too long; didn't read
懶人包：少投中距離，多打禁區（雖然禁區命中率還有提升效率空間），多打三分和更好 的pick and roll。

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.34.235.99 (臺灣) ※ 編輯: Coetzee (114.34.235.99 臺灣), 02/24/2020 07:25:56