PTT評價

[其他] 美國失業勞工在家領的比上班還多

看板Stock標題[其他] 美國失業勞工在家領的比上班還多作者
gothmog
(上海極司非爾路76號)
時間推噓50 推:51 噓:1 →:27

美國全國廣播公司財經頻道CNBC這篇文章 值得讓狂發現金的美國政府深思

原文如下 ,最後會附上本人不負責任翻譯

Two-thirds of laid off workers eligible for benefits that exceed their wages: NBER paper


PUBLISHED WED, JUL 8 2020 3:54 PM EDT
Jeff Cox


Layoffs associated with the coronavirus pandemic have hit lower-income workers much more than those at the highest end of the pay scale, but their compensationwhile off the job can double their typical wages.

A National Bureau of Economic Research look at employment trends over the past three months showed that two-thirds of all displaced workers are eligible for benefits that exceed their typical wages.


In some cases, the increase can be dramatic.

Unemployed janitors can collect 158% of their pay, while the typical retail worker can get 142% of what they had been earning, according to a study by NBER researchers Peter Ganong, Joseph S. Vavra and Pascal J. Noel. Each is affiliated with the University of Chicago.

Overall, they discovered that 68% of the unemployed can get benefits exceeding what they had been earning, with the median replacement rate being 134%. Those in the bottom 20% of income are eligible more than 200% of their salaries. Occupations with the highest percentage of unemployment compensation compared to salary include food service, janitors and medical assistants.

The extra benefits are the result of the CARES Act, which sought to provide a life raft for workers displaced by efforts to combat the virus. The program givesmillions of workers $600 a week above what they would normally collect in unemployment insurance benefits. Workers considered essential, such as those in health care and at grocery stores, are getting their normal salaries as they have continued to work through the crisis.


While the CARES funds have helped bring financial stability to impacted households, concerns have been raised over the idea of giving workers added incentive not to return to their jobs. The CARES Act funding expires at the end of July andis unlikely to survive in its current form.


The NBER paper does not make specific recommendations but notes that policymakers could weigh altering the program so that unemployment compensation stays below 100% of previous wages. Even providing an extra $300 instead of $600 still would leave 42% of all workers above full pay, the researchers note.

"High replacement rates can provide crucial liquidity necessary for households to smooth consumption during this unprecedented period of economic dislocation,"they said. However, they added that the above-100% "replacement rates" can "create distributional issues and may hamper efficient labor reallocation both now, and especially during an eventual recovery."

The authors also point out that furloughed workers in many cases lose health coverage and are providing public health benefits by staying home.

Working out the 'moral hazard'

The most recent Federal Reserve "Beige Book," which summarizes activity from the central bank's 12 districts, reported employers saying they were having a hardtime getting workers to come back because they are making more on unemployment.

U.K. Finance Minister Rishi Sunak announced Wednesday his intention to wind down a similar program there that he said "can't and shouldn't go on forever." The decision to curtail unemployment benefits generated criticism that it was premature at a time when the employment crisis is far from over.

The current U.S. system "induces trade-offs between consumption smoothing and moral hazard," the NBER paper states.

The researchers conclude that providing a policy that provides compensation on a percentage basis rather than a fixed-dollar amount could be more efficient.

"Such a policy does not provide the same disproportionate benefit to the poorest unemployed, but it can achieve substantial income replacement and resulting liquidity without pushing replacement rates above 100% for many workers," they wrote.

The jobs market has been staging a comeback over the past two months, with 7.5 million jobs added and the unemployment rate coming down from 14.7% to 11.1%. However, permanent layoffs have been rising, and Fed officials say more fiscal help likely will be necessary to help the economy continue to recover.

A separate NBER study showed that employment fell for 30% of those in the bottom-fifth of workers while the number was just 5% for the top quintile.

The numbers emphasize the challenge for policymakers even as the labor market makes strides from the biggest layoff cycle in U.S. history.

"We've seen a nice recovery, we've seen a bounce," said Michelle Meyer, U.S. economist at Bank of America Global Research. "But it's going to get more challenging."


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/08/two-thirds-of-laid-off-workers-eligible-for-benefits-that-exceed-their-wages-nber-paper.html


心得:

美國國家經濟研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)調查

美國政府對失業的人給予福利補助 已經到了誇張的程度


失業的社區警衛可以拿到他們原來薪水的158%補助

一般的零售工人可以拿到原來薪水的142%。


有68%的失業者可以得到超過他們之前收入的福利補助,補助為工資的134% 。


而那些收入最低的20%的人士,甚至有資格獲得超過工資200%的補助。


FED最新報告發現 ,老闆現在沒辦法叫員工回來上班,因為員工在家什麼都不做 領的比上班還多


--

※ PTT 留言評論
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 223.140.207.124 (臺灣)
PTT 網址

leo1217000 07/10 14:53不是原來薪水太低嗎XD

JuiFu617 07/10 14:54難怪股市會井噴

yinvi 07/10 14:54無限QE

H2 07/10 14:54多領的支票拿來買電視正好

ethan0419 07/10 14:54川普的目的是炒股 後果不干他的事

H2 07/10 14:55友達群創笑呵呵

cuteSquirrel07/10 14:56難怪之前數據不好常常噴發

livil 07/10 14:56可支配所得帶動股市繁榮

cchhhhhoh 07/10 14:57另類的平等?XD

Merkle 07/10 14:57不上班領得比上班多 我當然不上班

ting74942 07/10 14:58川普對人民大撒幣,民調還是QQ呵呵

c6587924 07/10 14:58很好啊

peter8543 07/10 14:59川普大灑幣 全球買單 美國爽爽過

good5755 07/10 15:01代表該加薪了?

Arietta 07/10 15:02搞不好這是無條件收入的開始?

abyssa1 07/10 15:03在家炒股振興經濟哪是什麼都不做

ksxo 07/10 15:04早就覺得先進國家應該能發展到不需工作基本收入

zakijudelo 07/10 15:05那老闆調薪不會嗎?

yyc1217 07/10 15:07剛好試驗無條件基本收入

c33uviiip0cp07/10 15:07給你們看看UBI的厲害!

jkokpcu 07/10 15:07被動收入就是厲害

aixiiae2005 07/10 15:07無限QE手套沒人敢質疑,下次崩盤就是第3次世界大戰

podon 07/10 15:08出來跑總是要還的,嘻嘻

hit0123 07/10 15:09新經濟時代要來了嗎...

ethan0419 07/10 15:09美國不適合無條件收入啦 一堆人太閒就會出事

rbelldandy 07/10 15:10台灣反觀發的比以前還少,還拿1千換2千=.=

pray 07/10 15:11難怪散戶有錢炒股XDDD

sagarain 07/10 15:11台灣花一千買三千 難怪

ya01234 07/10 15:12反觀

horse2819 07/10 15:14靠北 那誰要上班

dynamo 07/10 15:14發錢剛好全民炒股

BBBroflovski07/10 15:16失業真爽 難怪失業率一直高

lltools 07/10 15:16無限QE無限噴 印鈔機繼續印 有全世界背書怕什麼

lltools 07/10 15:16反正大家還是愛用美元 那就繼續印

aquahau 07/10 15:17這才是共產黨啊,中國多學習

asier0117 07/10 15:18所以失業率越高股市越噴 錢發越多 爽

CTTSAI 07/10 15:18你們喜歡錢,銀行繼續印 反正為利而爭是你的事

littlejackbr07/10 15:21大家都可以買iphone了,台g繼續噴

kevinmeng2 07/10 15:22這個尤其是針對中低收入的人,中高薪資就沒什麼差

kevinmeng2 07/10 15:22了…有些低收入的一個月可能才一千塊…自然比例看

kevinmeng2 07/10 15:22起來很高

zxm00038 07/10 15:23fed去死一死

zxm00038 07/10 15:24如果不是第一強國,誰敢這樣

chein17 07/10 15:25看來要破10萬了

hijacker 07/10 15:26有亞洲奴工幇老美工作還借錢給老美消費 爽

YLTYY 07/10 15:28羨慕-.-

ktv810504 07/10 15:29美國真的很靠杯...維尼能不能給點教訓

overflyle99 07/10 15:31當美國人真爽 反觀窮死過勞亞洲人

mecca 07/10 15:31這就對啦 在家印鈔花錢是米國的大國責任

aegis43210 07/10 15:40世界上目前唯一能借錢不還的大國-美國

peter96301 07/10 15:41XD 繼續玩啊

dslite 07/10 15:46股票炒起來就對了

buddhawu 07/10 15:57美元是全球貨幣,可以這樣大灑幣給全球吞下去

buddhawu 07/10 15:58不然你央行敢讓台幣兌美元大升值嗎?口憐

Chaos12345 07/10 16:08美國人:爽爆,有黑尼哥和黃猴子幫我打工

annie06045 07/10 16:08哪像台灣 只發2000搞一堆花招 再洗紓困做得多好

horb 07/10 16:09合法買票兼拯救經濟。沒人敢反對

GetMoney 07/10 16:10這時怎就聽不到政府常說的那句:參考各先進國家作法

annie06045 07/10 16:12美國發到不用上班 日本發3萬 台灣發2000搞一堆門檻

zarados 07/10 16:13這就是無限QE手套的厲害!!

Chan91143 07/10 16:18川普在搞鬼啊...

speady 07/10 16:19老闆也在領補助啊

kkjjkkjj 07/10 16:30發2000可以幹嘛?完全不懂

rahim 07/10 16:33發錢不是國會同意的嗎?為何大家都說是川普發錢?

rahim 07/10 16:33更何況發錢應該比較像民主黨的主張吧?

tn601374 07/10 16:51全世界一起開動物園

aegis43210 07/10 16:54川普可以擋呀,他不擋不就是贊同?

weiike 07/10 17:00不是川普是誰?

wjaxpig 07/10 17:03難怪瘋狂開趴不戴口罩

darkdogoblin07/10 17:05其他國家求美國印鈔買產品啊!

GimO 07/10 17:23不用上班啊 反正東亞猴子努力上班幫美國賺美金

dreamnook 07/10 17:54這個問題講很久惹

sidneys 07/10 18:54這都不重要 重點是補助哪時候停

ouabain 07/10 19:00失業率居高不下 社會很平靜的好現像

lineak 07/10 19:00所以搞不懂 喊什麼美國爸爸,美國o掰才是真的

gothmog 07/10 19:39按照官方規定,每週600美元的額外失業福利將於7月3

gothmog 07/10 19:391日到期

Fredck 07/10 19:57最爽的是被layoff, 公司給半年薪資再加上失業金,

Fredck 07/10 19:57我隔壁的每個月領一萬鎂