[情報] ESPN:業界對法官合約的14個預測

https://reurl.cc/Zb5zza

ESPN對大聯盟業界人士做了個民調

預測法官下一張合約的價碼

We polled more than a dozen MLB executives, agents and insiders to find out.

Here are the 14 predictions from lowest to highest total dollars committed:

共有14種預測出來

7 years for $259 million
10 for $265 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $300 million
7 for $301 million
9 for $320 million
8 for $320 million
8 for $328 million
9 for $333 million
9 for $335 million
10 for $340 million
10 for $341 million
10 for $375 million

And even more interesting, of the nine respondents to project a team Judge willend up with, four said he will stay with the Yankees, two have him going to theMets, two said the Giants and one said the Giants or Dodgers. (More about that later.)

其中有九位有預測落點

洋基:4
大都會:2
巨人:2
巨人或躲人:1

For reference, when the Yankees offered $213.5 million before the season, I estimated his true value at that time to be between $213.5 million and $250 million, and now a panel of experts think he's worth about $320 million. In other words: Aaron Judge has made about $100 million this year by betting on himself.

這個球季法官把自己身價大升一億美金

近幾年FA野手大約+FA年成績

Bryce Harper, RF, Philadelphia Phillies: 13 years, $330 million
Walk year (2018, age-25 season, Washington Nationals): 3.1 WAR

Corey Seager, SS, Texas Rangers: 10 years, $325 million
Walk year (2021, 27, Los Angeles Dodgers): 3.7 WAR

Manny Machado, 3B, San Diego Padres: 10 years, $300 million
Walk year (2018, 25, Baltimore Orioles/Los Angeles Dodgers): 7.0 WAR

Anthony Rendon, 3B, Los Angeles Angels, 7 years, $245 million
Walk year (2019, 29, Washington Nationals): 6.8 WAR

Kris Bryant, 3B, Colorado Rockies, 7 years, $182 million
Walk year (2021, 29, Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants): 3.1 WAR

Marcus Semien, 2B, Texas Rangers, 7 years, $175 million
Walk year (2021, 30, Toronto Blue Jays): 6.2 WAR

Freddie Freeman, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers, 6 years, $162 million
Walk year (2021, 31, Atlanta Braves): 4.9 WAR

George Springer, CF, Toronto Blue Jays, 6 years, $150 million
Walk year (2020, 30, Houston Astros): 1.8 WAR in 60-game season

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他又不是今年才打好的