Re: [Vtub] 白上的藍勾勾與金鯉魚

推 gswsb: 不知道有沒有大神統計過好狐總共釣了幾隻紅鯉才釣到金鯉

Reddit 的 r/Hololive板有人收集資料

https://www.reddit.com/r/Hololive/comments/rmzp5a/
fubuki_got_her_shiny_magikarp/

.......

Shinies have a rate of 1 in 4096.

So, the probability to not have one after 12000 tries is:

(1-1/4096)^1200=5,34%.

So a bit more than a chance in 20.

Yep, RNG was not on her side.

出金機率是1比4096
嘗試一萬二千次後沒中的機率為5.34%

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With numbers being roughly 13000 and shiny rate 1/4096, then she had 95,8%
chance of getting this shiny sooner.

1比4096的機率在大約一萬三千次, 白上有95.8%的機會早點得金

累計有不確定的數字
這邊有人詳細紀錄:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Hololive/comments/reycjg/
i_counted_the_total_number_of_magikarps_that/

Update (Dec 23): She did it! After 6,697 red Magikarps in 119 hours, 25
minutes and 39 seconds of stream-time, plus over a hundred hours off-screen,
Fubuki caught the shiny golden Magikarp! Including over a hundred hours off
fishing off-screen, it is estimated that she encountered between 11,500 -
13,500 Magikarps in total.

(中間有紀錄表格,但我只取累計)

Total range 11,500 - 13,500

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銀時: 什麼嘛...這不是新阿姆斯特朗旋風噴射阿姆斯特朗砲嗎?做得挺像的呢.
長谷川: 它是能把台北府炸掉,逼迫苛P開城的批踢踢的決戰武器.
新八: 什麼？我們天龍是被這種噁心的大砲打敗的嗎？

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